Tag: donald trump
Americans May Want Iran War To End, But The Trump Paymaster Isn't Ready Yet

Americans May Want Iran War To End, But The Trump Paymaster Isn't Ready Yet

Donald Trump knows that his reckless and pointless war on Iran is exceptionallyt unpopular, which must be why he now claims that the United States has already “won” – and why he sometimes seems to be promoting a negotiated exit. Yesterday he claimed that the Iranians sent him a big and very expensive “present,” like other nations that have sought favors from this eminently corruptible president.

Officials in Teheran continue to deny any talks about ending this round of hostilities, as they continue missile and drone strikes on other states in the region. Despite the destruction they and their people have suffered from US bombing, the mullahs enjoy a strategic advantage over the critical Strait of Hormuz, which the Trump White House evidently forgot to consider.

So pulling back from yet another flawed Mideast military venture is plainly the preferred course now. But bad news came this morning for everyone who hope to end this conflict before we sacrifice even more lives and treasure. Whatever Americans may want, there is a figure with far more influence over the Trump family than any voter, and he reportedly wants the war to conclude with “the destruction of Iran’s hard-line government.”

According to the New York Times, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman is pressing Trump to continue the war, despite his government’s public pronouncements to the contrary. Although the Saudis were not eager for this war and its predictable impact on their oil exports and security, the crown prince reportedly believes that a wounded but extant Iranian regime will be extremely dangerous to his country.

Quoting “interviews with people who have had conversations with American officials, and who described the discussions on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitive nature of Mr. Trump’s talks with world leaders, the Times noted the crazy zigzag of the president’s daily comments on the war –sometimes claiming that it will soon be over, sometimes vowing to bomb Iran into oblivion and regime change. Notably, the White House didn’t deny the Times story when asked about Trump’s conversations with the crown prince.

What the stunning Times report didn’t mention is the troubling relationship between the Saudi ruler, known as MBS, and Jared Kushner, the Trump adviser who led the negotiations with Iran that ended so abruptly with US and Israeli bombing. Not only has Kushner’s investment fund received $2 billion from the Saudi sovereign wealth fund, but he has been seeking another $5 billion even as the Iran crisis unfolded. Moreover, the Trump organization has recently booked at least $50 million in Saudi-linked projects through real-estate licensing agreements, golf tournament deals, and an unknown amount from purchases of Trump crypto-currency products.

To underline the corrupt relationship between the kingdom's ruling family and the Trump extended family of crooks, the president will deliver the featured address at the Saudi sovereign wealth fund’s Miami investment conference on March 27 -- just as he did one year ago. A senior Saudi delegation — including the head of the nearly $1 trillion Public Investment Fund and the kingdom's finance minister — will mingle with top US officials, business leaders, Donald Trump Jr., and Trump diplomatic amateur Steve Witkoff (as well as Witkoff's son Zach, who runs a crypto business with the Trumps).

As they assess the daily barrage of propaganda and smoke from the White House, Americans shouldn’t deceive themselves about the motives behind this war. We did not need to sacrifice American troops, innocent civilians, and hundreds of billions of dollars to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons. It seems that the proponents of wanton destruction, global chaos, and “regime change” have paid hefty bribes to get their way.

Behind Trump's War On Clean Energy Lie Corruption -- And Masculine Insecurity

Behind Trump's War On Clean Energy Lie Corruption -- And Masculine Insecurity

We are now in a global fossil fuel crisis. With oil and liquefied natural gas from the Persian Gulf unable to reach international markets due to Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, hydrocarbon prices have been soaring around the world and widespread shortages are emerging. Anyone who thought that the U.S. would be insulated from this dire picture thanks to its large domestic oil production has had a rude awakening: the average retail price of gasoline has risen more than $1 per gallon over the past month, while the price of diesel is up $1.60.

But the Trump administration hasn’t allowed these short-run distractions to divert it from its long-run goals: It remains deeply committed to killing renewable energy, especially wind power, and increasing America’s reliance on fossil fuels.

True, some of the administration’s attacks on wind power have failed: Its efforts to throttle offshore wind development by ordering developers to stop work on projects that are already underway have repeatedly been overruled by the courts. But the administration is continuing to block development of onshore wind and solar power by freezing the issuance of federal permits.

And on Monday the Interior Department unveiled a new tactic in its war on wind: It announced that it will pay TotalEnergies, a French energy giant, almost $1 billion to not produce energy — specifically to abandon its plans to build two large wind farms off the East Coast.

To understand the Trump administration’s motives in its campaign to kill renewable energy, one must realize that this campaign is both economically self-destructive and, despite the best efforts of the fossil fuel industry, deeply unpopular.

Fifteen years ago wind and solar power were still relatively marginal energy sources, which those hostile to their development could portray as unproven and uneconomic. Today they are major contributors to energy supply in many nations — and in some U.S. states. Perhaps most notably, as the chart at the top of this post shows, renewables — mostly wind, but with a growing role for solar — now account for more than a third of electricity generation in Texas, America’s largest producer of electricity and not exactly a state run by environmental extremists.

Even more impressively, renewables have dominated the growth in Texas’s electricity generation in recent years:

You almost have to admire the administration’s persistence, its determination to turn back the clock on energy even though renewables are big business, its tenacity in trying to block new, secure energy sources even in the face of a global energy crisis. But what’s this all about?

The administration has argued that offshore wind farms are a threat to national security, supposedly interfering with radar. But that doesn’t explain the efforts to block onshore wind and solar, and the courts have remained unconvinced. In announcing the buyoff of TotalEnergies, the Interior Secretary claimed that wind power is expensive and unreliable; but in that case why is it necessary to pay private companies not to develop it?

Campaign finance is part of the story. At this point, political contributions from fossil fuel companies go almost entirely to the GOP, while alternative energy favors Democrats.

Beyond campaign finance, fossil fuel interests, especially but not only the Koch brothers, have spent many decades promoting hostility to renewable energy and any effort to mitigate climate change. They have done so by every means possible, including faux environmentalism. When Donald Trump makes bizarre claims about how wind power is massacring birds and “driving whales crazy,” he’s getting his fantasies, whether he knows it or not, from the fossil-fuel propaganda machine.

Now, this long-term project has had limited success at moving the broader public, which remains favorably disposed toward renewable energy. In fact, as late as 2020 large majorities of rank-and-file Republicans held favorable views of both solar and wind power. Those views have shifted against renewables in Trump’s second term, but even now they aren’t nearly as extreme as the views of the Trump administration. And according to Pew, a substantial majority of Americans still believes that promoting wind and solar is “a more important priority” than promoting fossil fuel production.

But the right-wing elite is completely anti-renewable.

In large part this reflects long-term indoctrination by fossil-fuel backed think tanks and media. In addition, however, to make sense of the right-wing elite’s intense hostility to renewable energy one needs to think about psychology (psychology that the fossil fuel cabal exploits.)

Bear in mind that on the political right wind and solar power are routinely condemned as “woke.” Real men burn stuff.

What this reflects, I believe, is a common factor underlying many right-wing obsessions. Why cling to fossil fuels in the face of a technological revolution in energy? Why valorize “warrior ethos” and bulging biceps in an age of drone warfare? Why build economic policy around a doomed attempt to bring back “manly” jobs? At a deep level, I’d argue, it’s about nostalgia for an imagined past in which brawn mattered more than brains, combined with, yes, a hefty dose of insecure masculinity.

The world keeps declining to cooperate with these macho dreams. Tariffs aren’t bringing back blue-collar jobs. Setting out to “destroy the enemy as viciously as possible” — as Pete Hegseth said Tuesday — isn’t winning an easy victory over Iran. And turning our back on the energy revolution, even paying the private sector to reject new technology, means both making America less secure and ceding the future to other countries that aren’t ruled by MAGA’s obsessions.

But that appears to be a price both fossil fuel interests and the Trump administration are willing to pay.

Paul Krugman is a Nobel Prize-winning economist and former professor at MIT and Princeton who now teaches at the City University of New York's Graduate Center. From 2000 to 2024, he wrote a column for The New York Times. Please consider subscribing to his Substack.

Reprinted with permission from Paul Krugman.

MAGA Dread As Democrat Flips Mar-A-Lago District In Special Election

MAGA Dread As Democrat Flips Mar-A-Lago District In Special Election

The MAGA world went deep into panic mode as soon as the official results of a Florida special election landed.

On Tuesday, Democrat candidate Emily Gregory won a Florida state house special election against Republican John Maples — in a district that President Donald Trump won by 11 percent of the vote roughly one year ago.

As an additional kick, the district happens to house Trump’s own Mar-a-Lago Club, putting the district, as one CNN analyst described it, right ‘in Trump’s backyard.”

Conservative writer Eric Daugherty tried to play down the win, arguing on X that the legislative session in Florida has already ended and that Republicans are “hoping for powerful comeback later this year to cancel it all out.” But the victory set off alarms throughout the rest of MAGAsphere, with one X commenter posting “I don't like how this ‘trend’ is going.”

“How in hell do we get 30 percent turnout in today’s politically charged environment,” demanded another. “Do we have that many lazy, unengaged Republicans who ignore special elections and maybe even (God heal us) the midterms?”

While some MAGA X users shrilly shouted: “Don’t run Blacks” as Republican candidates (losing GOP candidate John Maples is African-American), others argued for Republicans to “work on our ground game.”

“These special elections are a sign we aren’t paying attention,” said the X user. “Download ActiVote, fill out your info, and you’ll know when all races in your district are. This is bare minimum civic duty sh——, guys.”

Still another frustrated Republican posted: “Floridians, I’m starting to see a trend that shouldn’t be happening,” while a casual observer wagered “Midterms are going to be brutal for the GOP.”

CNN Analyst Harry Enten compounded Republicans’ frustration, saying the GOP loss in Mar-a-Lago “is unlikely to stay at Mar-a-Lago.” Nationwide discontent with Trump appears to be making many voters hostile and driving Republican voters into disinterest.

“Historically speaking, special elections have forecasted what will happen in the midterm elections,” said Enten. “… [E]very single time a party outperformed the presidential baseline in the next midterm election, what we saw — five out of five times — that party went on to win the U.S. House of Representatives.”

Reprinted with permission from Alternet

Senate Republicans Know Why Trump's SAVE Act Would Backfire On Them

Senate Republicans Know Why Trump's SAVE Act Would Backfire On Them

Here’s a delicious irony: Republicans know the SAVE Act would be a disaster for their party, but they can’t get President Donald Trump to see it.

The polarizing legislation behind the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act would require people to provide documentary proof of U.S. citizenship—like a passport or birth certificate—when registering to vote in federal elections. Trump and his acolytes claim this would stop noncitizen voting, which is already vanishingly rare. Critics point out the obvious: It would make voting harder for a lot of eligible voters.

Normally, that’s the point. Voter suppression has long been a feature of GOP strategy, not a bug. But that thinking is outdated, as lower-propensity voters are increasingly Republican.

Which makes this GOP-backed bill not just an affront to democracy, but politically self-destructive.

One key provision would require a birth certificate that matches a voter’s current name. It’s driven in part by the GOP’s fixation on trans people, who make up a tiny sliver of the electorate. But the real impact would fall on married women who changed their last names, and they are disproportionately a Republican-leaning group.

In 2024, 52 percent of married women voted for Trump, but only 38 percent of unmarried women backed him, making for a yawning 14-point gap in support. And the women most likely to have changed their names are the same ones more likely to vote Republican.

A 2023 Pew study found that 86 percent of married conservative women took their husband’s last name, compared to 70 percent of liberal women. Education reinforces the pattern: The more educated a woman is, the less likely she is to change her name—and the more likely she is to vote Democratic.

Current passports could solve the documentation issue, but about half of Americans don’t have one. And the same patterns hold: Higher income and higher education make passport ownership more likely, and both of those factors correlate with Democratic voters.

So once again, the burden falls hardest on Trump’s base.

The states where Trump performed best in 2024 tend to have the lowest passport ownership rates. A 2023 YouGov survey found that 52 percent of Trump voters lacked a valid passport, compared to 45 percent of Biden voters. There’s also a gender gap: 55 percent of women don’t have passports, versus 49 percent of men. Among evangelicals—a core GOP constituency—only 38 percent have passports. Urban and suburban residents are far more likely to have them than rural voters.

Women could ostensibly use a marriage certificate to bridge the name-change gap. But that assumes they have one readily available. Many don’t—especially older women who changed their names decades ago and are less likely to still have those documents on hand.

And replacing them isn’t simple. It costs money, takes time, and often requires in-person trips to government offices.

Those barriers hit hardest in rural areas, where government offices are fewer and distances between them longer, and transportation can be a real obstacle. The very voters most likely to face these hurdles—older, rural women—are also a core part of Trump’s base.

That’s how voter suppression actually works: not through one big barrier, but through a series of smaller hassles. Each step increases the odds that someone decides it’s not worth it and drops out. Those pressures hit hardest among lower-income, older, and rural voters—the same voters the GOP now relies on.

That’s the shift Republicans haven’t fully adjusted to.

For decades, lower-income and less-educated voters leaned Democratic, and Republicans built strategies around keeping them from the polls. Trump flipped that coalition and turned out voters who historically sat out elections.

And now this bill risks pushing those same voters back out.

Many Republicans understand that, even if they won’t say it out loud. Senate Majority Leader John Thune, for example, has shown no interest in blowing up the filibuster to pass the SAVE Act, even as Trump pressures him not to cave and end the ongoing government shutdown unless Democrats agree to support the vote-suppressing legislation.

It’s easier to let Democrats take the blame for killing the bill than to tell Trump he’s wrong.

Markos Moulitsas is founder and editor of the blogging website Daily Kos and author of three books.

Reprinted with permission from Daily Kos

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