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How Often Did MAGA Media Proclaim 'Mission Accomplished' In Iran? Too Often

How Often Did MAGA Media Proclaim 'Mission Accomplished' In Iran? Too Often

Within days of President Donald Trump’s unprovoked attack on Iran in late February, right-wing media figures began predicting a short, easy conflict that would be over quickly. Major conservative pundits unilaterally declared in early March that the war was a “wrap-up mission at this point,” a “done deal,” and “winding down.” Instead, the war is about to enter its sixth month with no clear end in sight, with the potential for escalation seemingly everywhere.

Where right-wing media promised a cakewalk, the Trump administration has delivered a quagmire, as recent developments make clear. The U.S. military resumed striking targets in Iran in the middle of July, following the breakdown of a largely illusory ceasefire. Iranian authorities told The Associated Press that the recent wave of strikes have killed 50 and injured over 500. Over the weekend, the Pentagon announced the deaths of three U.S. service members, and The Washington Post reported that the Trump administration is now on the verge of “all-out war with Iran after more troops are killed.” And according to The New York Times, the Defense Department has been withholding the full number of U.S. troops who have been wounded in the conflict.

CNBC reported that a maritime risk firm characterized the current state of the Strait of Hormuz as a “worst-case scenario,” with the key waterway nominally open but still a primary point of conflict between the two countries.

These grim assessments stand in stark contrast to the predictions Iran hawks made in the days after the U.S. and Israeli militaries began their joint campaign on February 28 — the pundits listed below may as well have unfurled a “Mission Accomplished” banner for all of their premature declarations of victory.

In early March, right-wing media figures predicted imminent end to Iran war

Although some in right-wing media expressed early skepticism of the war, there was no shortage of hacks (and hawks) who got on board immediately.

On March 3, Fox News’ Laura Ingraham set a tone that others would soon match. “We've already knocked out so much of their capability,” Ingraham said. “It looks like this is just a wrap-up mission at this point.”

Two days later, her colleague Greg Gutfeld speculated on The Five that “maybe there's just nobody who can declare surrender because they're dead. I don't know, but I don't see how this thing can continue much longer.”

The Five returned to the topic the next day. “Do not lie about the war,” host Jesse Watters shouted at his liberal colleague Jessica Tarlov. “You know the war is going well.”

Fox News contributor Tyrus Murdoch added: “I’m willing to say this is a done deal.”

Some prime-time hosts at right-wing network Newsmax took the same line.

“I think we're at the end of serious U.S. involvement in Iran,” said host Rob Finnerty on March 9.

The same night on the same network, Greg Kelly said, “This time next week, we may be able to declare victory and warn Iran, don't do it again. But it could be over.” Kelly’s comments were illustrated by a graphic that read “I Predict: War Over Soon.”

Finnerty doubled down the next night. “The war in Iran appears to be winding down,” he said. “I think it is.”

Also on March 10, Fox News’ Sean Hannity weighed in during his Premiere Radio Networks radio show. “I am a firm believer that this is going to end very quickly,” Hannity said.

As the month drew to a close, Hannity again saw the conflict’s end in sight, telling his radio audience, “It's going to be on the verge of wrapping up no later than three weeks from today is my prediction.”

That was on March 30.

Conservative pundits claimed in March that Trump had won the war

Sometimes right-wing talking heads went even further, not just claiming that the war would end soon but declaring that Trump was already the victor.

On March 5, Ingraham stated flatly: “Trump has already won in Iran.”

In response to a press briefing by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on March 13, Heritage Foundation senior counselor James Carafano said, “The reality is the U.S. has already won this war, period. Mic drop. End of statement.”

Although Kelly’s “War Over Soon” prediction hadn’t come to pass, on March 16 the Newsmax host tried to speak that reality into existence. “I think we kind of just won the war,” Kelly said, adding: “I think we got this.”

Carafano echoed Kelly on March 23, arguing that “it does make sense for the U.S. to say, ‘Hey let's wind this down.’ Look, from America's perspective, dude, we’ve already won."

It’s now been at least three and a half months since these pundits made their various rosy predictions. Contrary to their Pollyannish analysis, the war appears to be expanding, as Iran continues to bomb U.S. military bases in the region and the Houthi militants in Yemen impose a blockade on Saudi Arabia to mirror Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

In light of these developments, a recent Fox News guest offered a different timeline, drawing inspiration from operations the U.S. military conducted after the 1991 Gulf War.

“I do expect that we're going to be there a long time,” said Robert Spalding, a retired Air Force general. “You know Operation Northern and Southern Watch went on for, you know, almost 20 years, I think.”

“I think this is going to be something similar,” Spalding continued. “We're going to have to stay there.”

Research contributions from Helena Hind, Isabella Corrao & Jane Lee

Reprinted with permission from Media Matters

Fox Praises Trump For Defending Election Integrity, While He Keeps Undermining It

Fox Praises Trump For Defending Election Integrity, While He Keeps Undermining It

In the week before President Donald Trump’s July 16 prime-time address, during which he pushed conspiracy theories that China interfered in his 2020 election defeat, Fox News has portrayed Trump as a leader on election security. However, his second administration has repeatedly taken actions to weaken the nation’s election security, including dismantling much of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, disbanding multiple task forces to combat foreign influence on elections, and failing to work with local and state officials to secure elections.Fox claims Trump will help secure America’s elections
Fox News anchor Bill Hemmer previewing Trump’s address: “He made election integrity a main pillar for his second term agenda.” [Fox News, America’s Newsroom, 7/15/26]

Fox claims Trump will help secure America’s elections

  • Fox News anchor Bill Hemmer previewing Trump’s address: “He made election integrity a main pillar for his second term agenda.” [Fox News, America’s Newsroom, 7/15/26]
  • Fox contributor Johnny Jones: “Election integrity is what President Trump is working on finding and establishing.” [Fox News, The Five, 7/10/26]
  • Fox contributor Ben Domenech: “It’s a “wise move” for Trump to “make a case” for legislation related to elections because “they are popular when you look at them in a polling situation.” Domenech claimed that Americans “tried to have major changes happen in this country when it comes to election integrity. They do not believe those changes have been made. The president is arguing in favor of them.” [Fox News, Special Report, 7/14/26]
  • Fox anchor Trace Gallagher defended Trump from criticism about “the GOP midterm election integrity.” Gallagher aired a clip of former CIA Director John Brennan saying that “Donald Trump is going to do everything in his power, and beyond that, to be able to affect the outcome of the election.” [Fox News, Fox News @ Night, 7/13/26]

But the Trump administration has repeatedly undermined election security

  • CNN detailed how the Trump administration dismantled much of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency infrastructure that combats election threats. CNN reported that these Trump administration efforts have included firing 130 CISA staffers, “including 10 regional security specialists who worked with local and state election officials.” The acting agency director also “put all election-security and counter-disinformation work on hold pending an internal review” in early 2025. Former Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem “also ordered CISA in February and March to cancel more than $9 million in annual contracts with the Center for Internet Security, a non-profit group. Many of the cuts imposed by DHS targeted the Elections Infrastructure Information Sharing and Analysis Center, or EI-ISAC, which brought together more than 1,300 election and law enforcement officials around the country to help monitor and share information about threats to voting.” [CNN, 4/9/25]
  • CNN also reported that the Trump administration “disbanded the FBI’s Foreign Influence Task Force,” which “was among several agencies that warned that Russia, Iran and other countries were conducting operations meant ‘to undermine public confidence in the integrity of U.S. elections and stoke divisions among Americans.’” CNN described it as “a key FBI task force charged with investigating foreign efforts to influence elections.” CNN additionally reported that the administration “also left in the wind the fate of another FBI task force that investigated threats against election workers and polling places.” [CNN, 4/9/25]
  • CNN: “Secret US cyber operations shielded 2024 election from foreign trolls, but now the Trump admin has gutted protections.” CNN reported that “a year into a second Trump administration, many of the government centers previously tasked with repelling foreign influence operations have been disbanded or downsized — and local election officials are preparing to face a continued onslaught of foreign influence operations largely on their own.” The article continued: “The administration has shut down foreign-influence-focused centers at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, the FBI and the State Department that helped warn the public that China, Russia and Iran’s spy services were targeting Americans with election-related disinformation. The Department of Homeland Security has also slashed its election security teams, which pass intelligence to local election offices and help them defend against cyber threats.” [CNN, 1/28/26]
  • NBC News reported that multiple state officials say the Trump administration has canceled election security briefings. A February article reported that several secretaries of state “said intelligence briefings from the federal government were invaluable during the first Trump administration,” but the administration stopped those briefings. The article noted that a February invitation by the Trump administration to participate in a call with the FBI about midterm election preparations was “the first time they have heard from anyone in this Trump administration about election security in months — or ever.” [NBC News, 2/9/26]
  • Nextgov: Trump’s 2027 budget proposal “would notably eliminate CISA’s election security program entirely, including cutting funding for information-sharing support to state and local officials and removing dedicated election security advisors across the country.” Nextgov reported that Trump’s budget proposal “would also end CISA’s support for the Elections Infrastructure Information Sharing and Analysis Center, or EI-ISAC, a key hub for sharing threat intelligence, cyber alerts and incident response resources with state and local election officials.” According to the article, these actions “would scale back one of the federal government’s main avenues for coordinating with state and local election officials on election cybersecurity risks like ransomware attacks, phishing campaigns and efforts by foreign adversaries to probe election systems and conduct influence operations.” [Nextgov, 4/7/26]
  • NOTUS: “The Justice Department Hasn’t Taken Its Usual Steps to Protect the 2026 Election.” NOTUS reported that “five months out from the midterm elections that will determine control of Congress, his Justice Department has canceled election-integrity training sessions for prosecutors and FBI agents, deleted a 281-page guide to prosecuting election offenses, fired most of the lawyers in its Public Integrity Section and failed to replace the director of its Election Crimes Branch.” Additionally, “the DOJ has not taken the usual steps to establish a ‘command center’ to monitor and address the typical emergencies that pop up around Election Day, three sources with knowledge of the situation told NOTUS. A command center team would address things like voter intimidation and targeted disinformation meant to hinder a fair process. These actions — and inactions — have alarmed current and former prosecutors, who say the Justice Department is not prepared to deal with threats to election integrity in the November elections.” [NOTUS, 6/8/26]
  • Last week, Trump fired Democratic members of the Election Assistance Commission. On July 10, The Associated Press reported: “The White House on Friday confirmed the executive action against members of the Election Assistance Commission, which distributes federal grants to states, oversees the testing of voting systems and maintains the national voter registration form.” According to the AP, “It’s the latest instance of the Republican president trying to exert White House influence over how U.S. elections are conducted.” [The Associated Press, 7/10/26]
Reprinted with permission from Media Matters
How Trump Uses A 'Chum Cycle' To Promote Conspiracies And Attack Democracy

How Trump Uses A 'Chum Cycle' To Promote Conspiracies And Attack Democracy

President Donald Trump’s latest attack on American democracy relies on an old tactic. Throughout his second administration — and even dating back to his first — Trump appointees have laundered documents they claim prove Democratic and “deep state” malfeasance through credulous right-wing outlets, counting on MAGA media to amplify their conspiracy theories and hoping that mainstream outlets would pick them up as well. Now they’re applying the same playbook to election denial.

On Thursday night, Trump plans to use a White House address to relitigate his Big Lie that the 2020 election was stolen from him. While details are sparse, reports suggest he could use declassified intelligence documents to accuse China and Venezuela of election interference and target the 2020 Senate elections in Georgia. Allies in the election denial community have suggested such claims could be used as a "predicate" to declare a “national emergency” that would justify an executive order implementing voter suppression policies by fiat.

Right-wing journalist John Solomon and Trump crony Bill Pulte, recently installed by the president at the White House and as acting director of national intelligence, respectively, are reportedly leading the effort to scrounge up the documents Trump will use to make his case — and taking those records out of context to support his conspiracy theories (“They try to put bits and pieces together and then make these conclusions,” one administration official told MS NOW).

Such duplicitous methods are necessary because the 2020 election’s security has been litigated over and over again, with the intelligence community under Trump’s auspices finding “no indications that any foreign actor attempted to alter any technical aspect” of the voting process and the attorney general he appointed, William Barr, stating in December 2020 that “we have not seen fraud on a scale that could have effected a different outcome in the election.” But MAGA hacks like Benny Johnson and Steve Bannon are already frothing at the mouth over the speech, promising that it will bring about “doomsday for the deep state” and “change the direction of politics.”

The salvo Trump and his administration are telegraphing is incredibly dangerous — but it is simply the election denial version of what they’ve previously tried to do to delegitimize the federal probes of Russian interference in the 2016 election, Trump’s retention of classified documents, and his role in the January 6 insurrection, among other cases. I previously described this tactic as the Trump administration’s "chum cycle":

The Trump administration chums the waters by handing over documents related to one of the myriad past investigations into the president’s actions; the president, top Trump officials, and Republican officeholders say they show a massive scandal; and mainstream reporters point out their narrative is farcical while MAGA media stars call for the indictment, arrest, prosecution, jailing, and perhaps execution of their political enemies.

Amid one such campaign, which targeted former President Barack Obama, The New York Times reported that “Trump hopes enough information will be released by his intelligence appointees to muddy the waters and lend a patina of confusion about what Mr. Obama may have done, according to people familiar with his thinking.” Trump has tried to stock his administration with officials who will employ the same tactic to the same ends.

The innovation this time around seems to be that Trump is using a primetime White House address to detail the allegations, rather than merely using his social media platform or a Fox interview to accuse his enemies of crimes or misconduct.

The right used a “chum cycle” to muddy Russia, January 6, and classified documents probes

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